Our scores, limits and global data availability

Introduction

After a year of restrictions placed on our lives the covid-19 pandemic is still with us and continues to create hardships for businesses across the globe. We continue to recognise the hardships and want to reassure our customers that our commitment has not changed and we will continue to support them in as many ways as possible.

As a global leader in business information, we have always prided ourselves on providing first-class, accurate, real-time risk information about customers and suppliers. This is to inform customers of the measures we are implementing to ensure that they continue to receive the same level of service quality and reliable information from us.

As such in 2020 we launched our Covid-19 Risk Indicator which is designed to allow you to make further informed decisions on businesses in sectors that have been heavily impacted by the effects of Covid-19. For more information about the Creditsafe Covid-19 Risk Indicator please get in contact

Our scores and limits

Scores & Limits

The situation during the last year have impacted us in many ways. Many companies are experiencing difficult situations and this pandemic has impacted different countries and different industries in different ways. Our aim is always to help all our customers as much as possible to regain stability, control and insight, which is more important than ever.

Our generic scorecards are an important tool and a foundation for many credit decisions, and will continue to be so. It is, therefore, highly important for us to ensure we continue to maintain predictive scores based on high quality data.

There has been and will continue being challenges and changes in the market and we are monitoring our evaluations carefully. Based on previous experiences from crisis and scorecard validations, the scorecards ranking from low to high risk have remained stable. This means that a company with a high score will still have a lower risk than a company with a lower score. However, the corresponding risk for each score did increase and deviate from predicted and the scores did underestimate the risk.

Based on this, we assume our scorecards will continue to rank the companies from low to high risk. However, the situation right now means the risk will most likely increase, but is nothing we have seen yet in our underlying data. We strongly believe in providing statistical scorecards based on facts, historical data and modelling. Our scorecards are closely monitored to keep track if any changes or amends are necessary. This is our preferred way forward to ensure stability and control. 

Our current actions include:

1)    Not amending our underlying scorecards, nor our scores or limits. As we continue to monitor the development of the situation carefully, we will, if and when possible, make any adjustments required. A manual change of the scores will harm the scorecard ranking, and this is not an option.

2)    We will, on some occasions, have the possibility to suspend a score if new information becomes available. This will be done carefully and only based on factual information.

3)    We suggest that our customers adjust their risk strategy to the situation. We assume that our scores over time will underestimate the coming risk; hence it is important for users in different industries to amend their internal policies taking into consideration their exposure, knowledge and the government packages available to them.

4)   We will continue to be proactive in having an open dialog with our customers and providing support and advice. If there is anything we can do to help, we urge our customers to let us know. We are all in this together.

To summarise;

We believe our scorecards will still rank from low to high risk, but are yet to estimate the extent and level of risk. It is highly likely that the scores are currently underestimating risk, which has not yet been seen in our analysis, but the world is quickly changing and we strongly suggest that all our customers make customised changes accordingly.

Government packages around the world are expected to have had a positive impact on the companies. As the impact of this is still to be assessed, we would recommend that customers continue to rely on our current information and make adjustments as they see fit.

We will continue to monitor the situation very closely and if changes are deemed necessary then we will adjust accordingly and ensure to communicate this to our customers. This cannot be fully achieved (whilst maintaining predictability) at this moment in time, as there is not enough empirical data yet to make sound statistical analysis and decisions.

It’s important to note that although our scoring models are built on historic data, we also collect and analyse real-time invoice data to understand how individual companies and sectors are paying their suppliers. We’ve also increased the monitoring of local media in each country to identify and assess negative corporate press.

Our data

Data is at the heart of everything we do. We consume millions of rows of data each day from hundreds of sources around the globe to build and maintain the largest global database of highly accurate, trusted company intelligence. We have no issues our supply chain however what we are noticing is that the volume of data we are receiving especially for adverse data is reduced compared to previous years. We believe this is due to the unprecedented levels of support governments are providing to business in forms of Tax relief, grants, interest free loans and of course the furlough schemes. Traditionally in these types of circumstances we would expect to see larger levels of insolvencies/bankruptcies as business are not able to trade as they usually would do to restrictions and lockdowns both locally and internationally. 

Current status and local Government responses

Review the latest information regarding Covid and the Government aid packages

Our advice on enhanced due-diligence

We currently recommend that customers take additional measures to ensure they are not exposed to increased amounts of risk and can continue to provide trade credit where possible.

Companies should review existing credit policies and adjust where needed. To trade on the side of caution, companies should consider increasing the minimum score needed to approve a customer.

We also urge companies to continue to monitor customers and suppliers closely and identify those within high-risk industries. It’s also important to review and take government policies into consideration as we are seeing unprecedented support by local governments to help support businesses during these difficult times.

Businesses that are concerned about commercial credit risk can talk to a member of our team about any of the information contained within this document. Please contact us on 02920 886 500 or email help@creditsafeuk.com – our team of experts are at hand to help in any way they can.

Businesses that are concerned about commercial credit risk can talk to a member of our team about any of the information contained within this document. Please contact us on 02920 886 500 or email help@creditsafeuk.com – our team of experts are at hand to help in any way they can. 

How Creditsafe can help?

During these turbulent times, it is more important than ever to assess the companies you do business with. If we can help with any of the below please complete the form and we will get in touch.

  1. Monitoring your customer and suppliers

    Now more than ever, in this volatile time, it is crucial you are actively monitoring your entire customer and supplier base and setting up monitoring alerts to notify you of any changes.

  2. Review credit policies

    We highly recommend that you review your current credit policies in light of the ever-changing economic environment. Consideration must be given to industries and government assistance packages. If you would you like our team to help you with this please let us know.

  3. Personalised training

    We can provide a complete overview of your services and answer any questions you have about them.

Get in touch

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